The Republicans lost the battle of ideas even more comprehensively than they lost the battle for educated votes, marching into the election armed with nothing more than slogans. Energy? Just drill, baby, drill. Global warming? Crack a joke about Ozone Al. Immigration? Send the bums home. Torture and Guantánamo? Wear a T-shirt saying you would rather be water-boarding. Ha ha. During the primary debates, three out of ten Republican candidates admitted that they did not believe in evolution.
The Republican Party’s divorce from the intelligentsia has been a while in the making. The born-again Mr Bush preferred listening to his “heart” rather than his “head.” He also filled the government with incompetent toadies like Michael “heck-of-a-job” Brown, who bungled the response to Hurricane Katrina. Mr McCain, once the chattering classes’ favorite Republican, refused to grapple with the intricacies of the financial meltdown, preferring instead to look for cartoonish villains. And in a desperate attempt to serve boob bait to Bubba, he appointed Sarah Palin to his ticket, a woman who took five years to get a degree in journalism, and who was apparently unaware of some of the most rudimentary facts about international politics.
Republicanism’s anti-intellectual turn is devastating for its future. The party’s electoral success from 1980 onwards was driven by its ability to link brains with brawn. The conservative intelligentsia not only helped to craft a message that resonated with working-class Democrats, a message that emphasized entrepreneurialism, law and order, and American pride. It also provided the party with a sweeping policy agenda. The party’s loss of brains leaves it rudderless, without a compelling agenda.
This is happening at a time when the American population is becoming more educated. More than a quarter of Americans now have university degrees. Twenty per cent of households earn more than $100,000 a year, up from 16% in 1996. Mark Penn, a Democratic pollster, notes that 69% call themselves “professionals.” McKinsey, a management consultancy, argues that the number of jobs requiring “tacit” intellectual skills has increased three times as fast as employment in general. The Republican Party’s current “redneck strategy” will leave it appealing to a shrinking and backward-looking portion of the electorate.
Why is this happening? One reason is that conservative brawn has lost patience with brains of all kinds, conservative or liberal. Many conservatives — particularly lower-income ones — are consumed with elemental fury about everything from immigration to liberal do-gooders. They take their opinions from talk-radio hosts such as Rush Limbaugh and the deeply unsubtle Sean Hannity. And they regard Mrs Palin’s apparent ignorance not as a problem but as a badge of honor.
Another reason is the degeneracy of the conservative intelligentsia itself, a modern-day version of the 1970s liberals it arose to do battle with: trapped in an ideological cocoon, defined by its outer fringes, ruled by dynasties and incapable of adjusting to a changed world. The movement has little to say about today’s pressing problems, such as global warming and the debacle in Iraq, and expends too much of its energy on xenophobia, homophobia and opposing stem-cell research.
Conservative intellectuals are also engaged in their own version of what Julian Benda dubbed la trahison des clercs, the treason of the learned. They have fallen into constructing cartoon images of “real Americans,” with their “volkish” wisdom and charming habit of dropping their “g”s.
...
Business conservatives worry that the party has lost the business vote. Moderates complain that the Republicans are becoming the party of “white-trash pride.”
...
Richard Weaver, one of the founders of modern conservatism, once wrote a book entitled “Ideas have Consequences”; unfortunately, too many Republicans are still refusing to acknowledge that idiocy has consequences, too.
November 14, 2008
The Stupid
Lexington is an anonymous columnist writing opinion pieces about the American economy and politics for The Economist. (There are similar, anonymous columnists for Britain and Europe.) This week's column, Ship of Fools, is interesting for what it says about the Republican party: they're brain dead. Not that this is a surprise to those of us on the left, but, considering that Lexington is a Republican (it's obvious from his/her writings), I wasn't expecting him/her to dare speak the truth. (Likewise, read the comments to see much wailing and gnashing of teeth at Lexington by the "faithful.") Some excerpts:
November 13, 2008
Bedtime Music: Mozart - Serenade #10 for Winds, 3rd Movement (Adagio)
Tonight's Bedtime Music is another beautiful piece that was highlighted in a movie, this time the Third Movement (Adagio) of Serenade #10 for Winds by Wolfgang Amadeus Mozart. The Serenade as a whole (there are seven movements) was written sometime between 1781 and 1784 with most authorities apparently viewing the earlier date as more probable. However, it is known that the Serenade was performed publicly in a concert on March 23, 1784.
Wikipedia has a very short description of the Third Movement, which reads:
However, it is in clips such as the following that highlight how woeful my musical education has been (despite all my years in performing). F. Murray Abraham (in the role of Antonio Salieri) describes the beginning of the Third Movement in a way I would find very difficult, if not impossible, to do -- and wish I could.
Wikipedia has a very short description of the Third Movement, which reads:
Described by Goodwin* as “virtually an ‘operatic’ ensemble of passionate feeling and sensuous warmth”, the third movement, marked Adagio, is in E flat major. A syncopated pulse occurs almost throughout the movement while solo lines alternate between the solo oboe, clarinet and basset horn.
* Noel Goodwin, CD liner notes for Mozart: Three Wind Serenades, Sinfonia Concertante, ASV CD COS 242
However, it is in clips such as the following that highlight how woeful my musical education has been (despite all my years in performing). F. Murray Abraham (in the role of Antonio Salieri) describes the beginning of the Third Movement in a way I would find very difficult, if not impossible, to do -- and wish I could.
November 12, 2008
Bedtime Music: Khachaturian - Adagio From Spartacus
One of the benefits from being involved in the drum corps activity is that it exposes participants and audiences alike to a wide variety of music. A couple years ago I first heard part of the Adagio from Aram Khachaturian's (1903-1978) ballet, Spartak (Spartacus). Khachaturian wrote the ballet in 1954, and it first premiered in 1956.
In this video, pianist Matthew Cameron performs the Adagio for CUNY-TV, a cable channel operated by the City University of New York.
To me, this is one of the most romantic melodies I've ever heard. And while the song has been played in a number of movies over the years, I must admit I got all excited when I heard the Adagio playing at the end of Ice Age 2, in the scene where Scrat, the saber-toothed squirrel, had gone to acorn heaven (the 7:43 mark in the below video). ;)
In this video, pianist Matthew Cameron performs the Adagio for CUNY-TV, a cable channel operated by the City University of New York.
To me, this is one of the most romantic melodies I've ever heard. And while the song has been played in a number of movies over the years, I must admit I got all excited when I heard the Adagio playing at the end of Ice Age 2, in the scene where Scrat, the saber-toothed squirrel, had gone to acorn heaven (the 7:43 mark in the below video). ;)
Good Riddance, Y'all
The New York Times on the fall of the South in terms of its influence on national politics. Insha'allah, this will truly come to pass. I hope to write a few more posts on this topics soon, insha'allah.
What may have ended on Election Day, though, is the centrality of the South to national politics. By voting so emphatically for Senator John McCain over Mr. Obama — supporting him in some areas in even greater numbers than they did President Bush — voters from Texas to South Carolina and Kentucky may have marginalized their region for some time to come, political experts say.
The region’s absence from Mr. Obama’s winning formula means it “is becoming distinctly less important,” said Wayne Parent, a political scientist at Louisiana State University. “The South has moved from being the center of the political universe to being an outside player in presidential politics.”
One reason for that is that the South is no longer a solid voting bloc. Along the Atlantic Coast, parts of the “suburban South,” notably Virginia and North Carolina, made history last week in breaking from their Confederate past and supporting Mr. Obama. Those states have experienced an influx of better educated and more prosperous voters in recent years, pointing them in a different political direction than states farther west, like Alabama, Arkansas, Louisiana and Mississippi, and Appalachian sections of Kentucky and Tennessee.
Southern counties that voted more heavily Republican this year than in 2004 tended to be poorer, less educated and whiter, a statistical analysis by The New York Times shows. Mr. Obama won in only 44 counties in the Appalachian belt, a stretch of 410 counties that runs from New York to Mississippi. Many of those counties, rural and isolated, have been less exposed to the diversity, educational achievement and economic progress experienced by more prosperous areas.
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Less than a third of Southern whites voted for Mr. Obama, compared with 43 percent of whites nationally. By leaving the mainstream so decisively, the Deep South and Appalachia will no longer be able to dictate that winning Democrats have Southern accents or adhere to conservative policies on issues like welfare and tax policy, experts say.
That could spell the end of the so-called Southern strategy, the doctrine that took shape under President Richard M. Nixon in which national elections were won by co-opting Southern whites on racial issues. And the Southernization of American politics — which reached its apogee in the 1990s when many Congressional leaders and President Bill Clinton were from the South — appears to have ended.
“I think that’s absolutely over,” said Thomas Schaller, a political scientist who argued prophetically that the Democrats could win national elections without the South.
The Republicans, meanwhile, have “become a Southernized party,” said Mr. Schaller, who teaches at the University of Maryland, Baltimore County. “They have completely marginalized themselves to a mostly regional party,” he said, pointing out that nearly half of the current Republican House delegation is now Southern.
Merle Black, an expert on the region’s politics at Emory University in Atlanta, said the Republican Party went too far in appealing to the South, alienating voters elsewhere.
“They’ve maxed out on the South,” he said, which has “limited their appeal in the rest of the country.”
Even the Democrats made use of the Southern strategy, as the party’s two presidents in the last 40 years, Jimmy Carter and Mr. Clinton, were Southerners whose presence on the ticket served to assuage regional anxieties. Mr. Obama has now proved it is no longer necessary to include a Southerner on the national ticket — to quiet racial fears, for example — in order to win, in the view of analysts.
Several Southern states, including Arkansas, Louisiana and Tennessee, have voted for the winner in presidential elections for decades. No more. And Mr. Obama’s race appears to have been the critical deciding factor in pushing ever greater numbers of white Southerners away from the Democrats.
Why Oil Prices Dropped Recently
Rasheed Moore asked over at Tariq Nelson's blog, "How do oil prices just suddenly drop a dollar a gallon when our economic crisis hits?"
Because everyone stopped driving.
Not really, of course, but the trends against driving have gained the upper hand in recent months, which has caused the demand for oil (and gasoline) to drop. Several suggested readings:
James Hamilton at Econbrowser does a monthly post showing US auto sales. The most recent post (for October sales) shows that US-manufactured car sales are down 27% from a year ago, US-manufactured light truck sales (including SUVs) are down 40%. GM's chief sales analyst: "Clearly we're in a dire situation."
The Federal Highway Administration's (FHA) Travel Trends (August 2008 - most recent month available) - In the 12-month moving average, 2008 has the fewest amount of vehicle miles driven since 2003. The peak year was 2007. Most people aren't driving as much as they used to.
In my original response, I linked to an FHA graph showing the 12-month moving average since 1983 to make clear the drop in the number of vehicle miles traveled within the US. The original FHA graph is rather difficult to read, so I've made a new graph, below, showing the same data:

If it makes you feel any better, The Economist is reporting that oil prices may be going back up to around $150 or so by 2010.
Because everyone stopped driving.
Not really, of course, but the trends against driving have gained the upper hand in recent months, which has caused the demand for oil (and gasoline) to drop. Several suggested readings:
In my original response, I linked to an FHA graph showing the 12-month moving average since 1983 to make clear the drop in the number of vehicle miles traveled within the US. The original FHA graph is rather difficult to read, so I've made a new graph, below, showing the same data:

If it makes you feel any better, The Economist is reporting that oil prices may be going back up to around $150 or so by 2010.
November 11, 2008
Bedtime Music: Tchaikovsky - Waltz of the Flowers
I'm not sure if you can say which waltz is more popular, yesterday's The Blue Danube or Tchaikovsky's Waltz of the Flowers, but I bet the two waltzes would run neck and neck. Waltz of the Flowers is only one song from Tchaikovsky's ballet, The Nutcracker, which premiered in December 1892. Waltz of the Flowers is one of the last pieces to be played in the ballet, followed only by Pas de Deux: Adagio and the Final Waltz and Apotheosis. Of course, the recent popularity of The Nutcracker (since the 1960s) is largely due to the ballet being performed every year around Christmas. (Ironically, yours truly has never watched the ballet.) Several of the songs, including Waltz of the Flowers, were also used in the popular Walt Disney movie, Fantasia.
China Beating the US in the Global Oil Game
A very interesting article at Money Morning about how China is beating the United States in the global oil game. (Actually, The Economist tackled the larger issue of China's thirst for natural resources and how they're going about getting them, particularly in Africa, in a noteworthy special report back in March.) Below are some of the article's highlights:
HT: Informed Comment
While this deal, on its face, appears to be just another global oil-services contract, it’s actually a very significant development in the hunt for long-term energy supplies. In fact, it actually demonstrates that – when it comes to nailing down those long-term oil supplies – China is an expert, and is playing a very deep game. And the outcome of that game will certainly have substantial long-term implications for consumers and investors both here in the United States, and in markets abroad. Here’s why:With estimated reserves of 115 billion barrels, Iraq is tied with Iran for the world’s No. 2 position, trailing Saudi Arabia, which has estimated reserves of 264 billion barrels, according to estimates from the Energy Information Administration . In a country where electricity is in short supply, the oil produced from the Ahdab Oil Field will help fuel a planned power plant that would be one of the largest in Iraq. By helping Iraq with this key initiative, China can expect to gain a solid foothold in one of the most oil-rich nations in the world, analysts say. At the end of the day, the deal clearly highlights something that most U.S. investors haven’t focused on yet – namely that the eventual winners in this game may not be such well-known giants as Chevron Corp. (CVX), ExxonMobil Corp. (XOM), or other household names. Deals like this one and the host of others that are undoubtedly close behind suggest that tomorrow’s winners may have names most English-speaking investors can’t pronounce, since they’ll be distinctly Arabic or Chinese in nature.
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While China won’t participate in the profits from the oil it helps pump, it is shrewd enough to realize there will be long-term benefits. Analysts who see the bigger picture here agree with our view.
“There are some political profits for China,” Ibrahim Bahr al-Ulum, a former Iraqi oil minister, told The Times. “They need access to Iraq, and when they need oil, at least the Iraqi people will feel that China has done something for them.”
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By invading Iraq, the United States dealt China’s central planning commission an embarrassing wakeup call when the second Gulf War summarily wiped out China’s oil interests in Iraq.
When that happened, China’s central planners realized two things:The status quo in the global oil game had changed. And China’s double-digit economic miracle could not be sustained with only a few oil suppliers.
What China fears most is that there will not be enough oil to go around in the very near future and that a U.S.-dominated supply chain could effectively “strangle” China’s growth.
So, it has done what the United States and other great powers have done at other times in history and gone on a buying spree from Darfur to Peru that’s turned heads and ruffled feathers all across the world.
What’s been especially frustrating for hapless Western leaders who do not understand that their actions caused this in the first place, is that China’s not afraid to do business with rogue nations like Iran, Sudan and Burma. It has even gotten chummy with Venezuela and Russia – much to the consternation of our present administration.
It’s a virtual certainty that China will maintain this policy going forward. My contacts in China and Africa have told me point blank that China’s leaders “don’t care about human rights or nukes or hostile governments. What matters is anyone who provides oil to China no matter what the rest of the world thinks.”
So, in as much as the U.S. media has dismissed this deal as only one in a long string of recent Chinese oil purchases, it’s arguably the most important deal yet. The reason: It suggests that China will go to extraordinary lengths to obtain the oil it wants and needs.
To add to its stable of captive oil suppliers, China will pay far more money, endure limitless criticism for ignoring human-rights issues and endure harsher business conditions than our companies can or will undertake. While U.S. firms must worry about sanctions, bad publicity or simply security, China worries about one thing, and one thing only – getting oil.
HT: Informed Comment
ObamaBats
This is amusing. Jeff Domke has created 24 True Type "dingbats" using photos of Barack Obama and other images from his campaign. Go download it!HT: IZ Reloaded
November 10, 2008
Bedtime Music: Strauss - The Blue Danube
After such a long theme on rock music, I thought I'd do classical music this week. This song, The Blue Danube by Johann Strauss II, is, of course, extremely famous. And yet, there are several facts about the song that most people probably don't know. For example:
The original title is An der schönen blauen Donau or On the Beautiful Blue Danube. The waltz was first performed on February 9, 1867.
The original waltz had lyrics (see the Wikipedia page on The Blue Danube for the lyrics to the choral version). There is also an alternative version of the lyrics, written by Franz von Gernerth, entitled Donau so blau or Danube So Blue.
The original choral version of the waltz was only mildly successful. It was when the song was rewritten into a purely orchestral form that its popularity soared.
Powers of Ten
I don't know what inspired me to look for this classic science documentary, but it's a good movie to watch just the same. There are a couple of minor errors in it, and a little bit of both the astronomy and knowledge about elemental particles is out of date (Powers of Ten originally came out in 1977), but it's a good primer on a number of topics in both science and mathematics. If your kids have never watched it, show them this movie.
Interesting trivial fact (or not, as the case may be): The soundtrack was written by composer Elmer Bernstein, who did the soundtracks for over 200 Hollywood movies, including The Ten Commandments, The Magnificent Seven, Ghostbusters and Animal House.
Interesting trivial fact (or not, as the case may be): The soundtrack was written by composer Elmer Bernstein, who did the soundtracks for over 200 Hollywood movies, including The Ten Commandments, The Magnificent Seven, Ghostbusters and Animal House.
November 8, 2008
American Muslim Voters in the 2008 Election
Since at least the 2000 election (that I know of), an exit poll of American Muslim voters has been conducted after each presidential election. The results of the 2008 survey has just been released, and I thought I'd give a brief summary of the findings. The entire report (three pages) may be found here [pdf].
First, not surprisingly to me, Barack Obama received 88.9% of the Muslim vote. John McCain, on the other hand, received only 2.2%. Third party candidates (Ralph Nader, Bob Barr, Cynthia McKinney, or "someone else" received a combined total of 2.0% between them.
Because of such a huge number voting for Obama, it should not be too much of a surprise that most Muslims affiliate with the Democratic Party. 63.0% of Muslims identify themselves as Democrats, while only 4.1% identify as Republicans. 28.7% list themselves as Independents. Thus, Barack was not only able to capture a lot of the Muslim independents, but possibly even to persuade a significant number of Muslim Republicans to vote for him as well.
The most important issue for Muslim voters at this time is the economy (63.3%), followed by the wars in Iraq and Afghanistan (16.1%). Other important issues for Muslim voters are education (5.0%), civil rights (4.1%), and national security (3.8%). Back in January, when another poll had been conducted of Muslim voters, education and civil rights were the most important issues at that time.
The turnout among respondents to the survey was 95%, the highest level of turnout among American Muslim voters ever. Of those who voted, 13.6% voted for the first time ever. A total of 78% of the voters reside in ten states; they are: Illinois, New York, Virginia, Michigan, California, Texas, New Jersey, Maryland, Florida, and Pennsylvania. Note that all of those states with the exception of Texas are "blue," with two of those states, Virginia and Florida, having turned blue in this past election.
Cross-posted at Street Prophets and at Daily Kos.
First, not surprisingly to me, Barack Obama received 88.9% of the Muslim vote. John McCain, on the other hand, received only 2.2%. Third party candidates (Ralph Nader, Bob Barr, Cynthia McKinney, or "someone else" received a combined total of 2.0% between them.
Because of such a huge number voting for Obama, it should not be too much of a surprise that most Muslims affiliate with the Democratic Party. 63.0% of Muslims identify themselves as Democrats, while only 4.1% identify as Republicans. 28.7% list themselves as Independents. Thus, Barack was not only able to capture a lot of the Muslim independents, but possibly even to persuade a significant number of Muslim Republicans to vote for him as well.
The most important issue for Muslim voters at this time is the economy (63.3%), followed by the wars in Iraq and Afghanistan (16.1%). Other important issues for Muslim voters are education (5.0%), civil rights (4.1%), and national security (3.8%). Back in January, when another poll had been conducted of Muslim voters, education and civil rights were the most important issues at that time.
The turnout among respondents to the survey was 95%, the highest level of turnout among American Muslim voters ever. Of those who voted, 13.6% voted for the first time ever. A total of 78% of the voters reside in ten states; they are: Illinois, New York, Virginia, Michigan, California, Texas, New Jersey, Maryland, Florida, and Pennsylvania. Note that all of those states with the exception of Texas are "blue," with two of those states, Virginia and Florida, having turned blue in this past election.
Cross-posted at Street Prophets and at Daily Kos.
November 7, 2008
Bedtime Music: Trio - Da Da Da
And now for something completely different. :)
In 1982, a small German band by the name of Trio recorded a song that became very popular for a brief time, but has continued to remain popular over the decades from its use as a cover song and in TV commercials. The song is most commonly known as "Da Da Da," although the full title is "Da da da, ich lieb dich nicht du liebst mich nicht aha aha aha", or Da Da Da, I Don't Love You, You Don't Love Me, Aha Aha Aha." The song peaked at #2 in Germany and the UK, and #3 in Canada.
In 1997, Volkswagen produced a commercial called Sunday Afternoon, which used "Da Da Da" for its background music. This revived the song and led to a spurt of covers and parodies.
And then there's this very odd Pepsi commercial for the 2006 World Cup in Germany where a number of international soccer stars (David Beckham, Ronaldinho, Thierry Henry, etc.) are invited to "play for Pepsi" against a "team" of dancing men wearing lederhosen, all to the music of "Da Da Da." Strange.
In 1982, a small German band by the name of Trio recorded a song that became very popular for a brief time, but has continued to remain popular over the decades from its use as a cover song and in TV commercials. The song is most commonly known as "Da Da Da," although the full title is "Da da da, ich lieb dich nicht du liebst mich nicht aha aha aha", or Da Da Da, I Don't Love You, You Don't Love Me, Aha Aha Aha." The song peaked at #2 in Germany and the UK, and #3 in Canada.
In 1997, Volkswagen produced a commercial called Sunday Afternoon, which used "Da Da Da" for its background music. This revived the song and led to a spurt of covers and parodies.
And then there's this very odd Pepsi commercial for the 2006 World Cup in Germany where a number of international soccer stars (David Beckham, Ronaldinho, Thierry Henry, etc.) are invited to "play for Pepsi" against a "team" of dancing men wearing lederhosen, all to the music of "Da Da Da." Strange.
November 6, 2008
Bedtime Music: ZZ Top - Sharp Dressed Man
My semi-secret theme is finally over with this video. (Thank God.) I'll announce what the theme was in the comments, insha'allah, for any who hadn't guessed it by this point.
Another 1983 release (that was a very good year for rock music), ZZ Top came out with their album Eliminator, which, as an album, placed ninth on the Billboard 200, and produced four hit singles, of which Sharp Dressed Man placed 56th on the Billboard Hot 100 and #8 on the Mainstream Rock chart. As for the video, the concert was filmed a year ago, November 1, 2007, at the Nokia Theater in Grand Prarie, Texas.
Another 1983 release (that was a very good year for rock music), ZZ Top came out with their album Eliminator, which, as an album, placed ninth on the Billboard 200, and produced four hit singles, of which Sharp Dressed Man placed 56th on the Billboard Hot 100 and #8 on the Mainstream Rock chart. As for the video, the concert was filmed a year ago, November 1, 2007, at the Nokia Theater in Grand Prarie, Texas.
November 5, 2008
Bedtime Music: Yes - Leave It
This is one of those bands where the choice of music video can be very difficult: so many good songs to choose from! Nevertheless, I decided to feature Leave It, off of Yes's 1983 release, 90125. While the song was occasionally released as a B-side to the much more popular Owner of a Lonely Heart, Leave It was popular in its own right, reaching #24 on Billboard's Hot 100 and #3 on the Mainstream Rock Tracks chart.
The video is very retro by today's standards. What's interesting is that 15 different versions of the video were made at the time, of which only fourteen were ever aired on TV. The fifteenth video is rumored to have been of the band members announcing that Leave It had made it to #1 on the charts, which, of course, didn't happen. (That honor went to the above-mentioned Owner of a Lonely Heart.)
The video is very retro by today's standards. What's interesting is that 15 different versions of the video were made at the time, of which only fourteen were ever aired on TV. The fifteenth video is rumored to have been of the band members announcing that Leave It had made it to #1 on the charts, which, of course, didn't happen. (That honor went to the above-mentioned Owner of a Lonely Heart.)
November 4, 2008
Bedtime Music: X - White Girl
Surprise, surprise! It's time to try to resume (once more) my long-neglected, unlamented series, Bedtime Music. And, yes, in this 50th post of the series, I'm also resuming my semi-secret theme. (For the benefit of those readers who hadn't read the previous posts or have forgotten them, the theme was never announced, but I had left numerous clues (23 so far) to solve the puzzle. This video and the next two will round out the series, where someone may finally figure it out.)
Of all the videos in this theme, I figured today's would be the most difficult to find. (It wasn't.) While I had heard of the American punk rock band X in college, I had no idea what their music sounded like. This song, White Girl (I have no link for it), was off the band's 1981 release, Wild Gift, and it sounds pretty good.
Of all the videos in this theme, I figured today's would be the most difficult to find. (It wasn't.) While I had heard of the American punk rock band X in college, I had no idea what their music sounded like. This song, White Girl (I have no link for it), was off the band's 1981 release, Wild Gift, and it sounds pretty good.
November 3, 2008
Tampines Traffic Accident
I've been meaning to put these two photos up on the blog for two weeks now. Anyway, Milady and I had gone to a local mall in the Tampines (tam-pih-ness) neighborhood of S'pore; on our way back home, we passed by a really horrific car/bicycle accident. Traffic, of course, was very slow, so I was able to take two photos with my handphone camera when the car had stopped.
The accident happened at the corner of Tampines Avenue 4 (the street we were on) and Tampines Avenue 5, with Tampines Stadium in the background (the Hyundai sign and the red wall in the distance). In this first photo you can see that the car had jumped over the median and completely demolished part of the median fence. Parts of the fence were strewn over the street, as you can see.

In this second photo, we were obviously past the accident scene, but I used the side-view mirror to take a photo of the other side of the car.

Here's what Milady and I think might have happened. As you can see in the first photo, there was an ambulance already at the scene (although, ironically, no police, which is a little strange as the local precinct is just a mile or so down Tampines Avenue 4). What you can't see in the photos is the mangled wreckage of a bicycle. So we suspect that as the light was turning red, a bicyclist may have gone into the intersection early while the car was possibly speeding through the red light. The car may have then hit the bicycle before veering right and going through the fence. Unfortunately, we don't know the full story or how the bicyclist and driver are as the story didn't make the newspaper the next day. We did drive past the accident site today, and the fence has been completely repaired already. Singaporean efficiency.
The accident happened at the corner of Tampines Avenue 4 (the street we were on) and Tampines Avenue 5, with Tampines Stadium in the background (the Hyundai sign and the red wall in the distance). In this first photo you can see that the car had jumped over the median and completely demolished part of the median fence. Parts of the fence were strewn over the street, as you can see.

In this second photo, we were obviously past the accident scene, but I used the side-view mirror to take a photo of the other side of the car.

Here's what Milady and I think might have happened. As you can see in the first photo, there was an ambulance already at the scene (although, ironically, no police, which is a little strange as the local precinct is just a mile or so down Tampines Avenue 4). What you can't see in the photos is the mangled wreckage of a bicycle. So we suspect that as the light was turning red, a bicyclist may have gone into the intersection early while the car was possibly speeding through the red light. The car may have then hit the bicycle before veering right and going through the fence. Unfortunately, we don't know the full story or how the bicyclist and driver are as the story didn't make the newspaper the next day. We did drive past the accident site today, and the fence has been completely repaired already. Singaporean efficiency.
November 2, 2008
New York Times Interview with James Galbraith
The New York Times Magazine has a very short interview with James Galbraith, whom I've done several posts about in recent weeks. The interview is interesting for Galbraith's comments on the subject of economics and on several prominent people in the Bush administration, Dick Cheney in particular. BTW, one might be tempted to brand Galbraith's answers as "pithy" as well after reading this interview, but the notes at the bottom of the page mention that Galbraith's answers were "condensed." (And, if you read his recent interview with Bill Moyers, you'd know that this isn't the case.) The entire interview can be read here.
Do you find it odd that so few economists foresaw the current credit disaster? Some did. The person with the most serious claim for seeing it coming is Dean Baker, the Washington economist. I saw it coming in general terms.
But there are at least 15,000 professional economists in this country, and you’re saying only two or three of them foresaw the mortgage crisis? Ten or 12 would be closer than two or three.
What does that say about the field of economics, which claims to be a science? It’s an enormous blot on the reputation of the profession. There are thousands of economists. Most of them teach. And most of them teach a theoretical framework that has been shown to be fundamentally useless.
You’re referring to the Washington-based conservative philosophy that rejects government regulation in favor of free-market worship? Reagan’s economists worshiped the market, but Bush didn’t worship the market. Bush simply turned over regulatory authority to his friends. It enabled all the shady operators and card sharks in the system to come to dominate how we finance.
...
What do you think the future holds for Vice President Cheney? I suspect that Cheney will spend much of his life fending off legal challenges, but that is a different area. I’m quite sure that the human rights issues will follow him for the rest of his life.
Any thoughts on Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson, who engineered the bailout? He is clearly not a superman. This is the guy who had the financial crisis on his plate for a year, and when it finally became so pervasive that he couldn’t handle it on a case-by-case basis, the best he could do was send Congress a bill that was three pages long.
What’s wrong with that? Maybe he’s pithy. It shows he wasn’t adequately prepared. The bill did not contain protections for the public that Congress had to put in.
Regulation is the new mantra, and even Alan Greenspan in his mea culpa before Congress seemed to regret he hadn’t used more of it. I would say a day late and a dollar short. Greenspan blotted his copybook disastrously with his support of deregulated finance. This is a follower of Ayn Rand, an old Objectivist. His belief was you can’t really regulate and discipline the market and you shouldn’t try. I think Greenspan bears a high, high degree of responsibility for what has happened.
October 31, 2008
Ten Things You Don't Know About...
I came across an interesting three-part series of blog posts on astronomy over at Discover Magazine's Bad Astronomy blog (the original Bad Astronomy is now hosted by Discovery). Anyhoo... the author, Phil Plait, talks about ten things you may or may not know about the Milky Way, the Earth and Black Holes. All of the posts are done in a humorous, irreverent style for those of you who can't take your astronomy straight. ;) For example:The biggest is called Cruithne (pronounced MRPH-mmmph-glug, or something similar).
Be sure to check them out.
October 28, 2008
What Does This Look Like to You?
I took this photo last week with my handphone camera in a car park in Bedok (I won't be more specific as to the location). As you can see, this stuff, whatever it is, looks like a certain word we know. Regardless of what you, my readers, think, I will think of this as an ayah.


Verily in the heavens and the earth, are Signs for those who believe. (45:3)


On the earth are signs for those of assured Faith, (51:20)
A'ishah's First Eid
I've three more pics of A'ishah to share; the first two were taken during Ramadan, while the last was taken on Eid (October 1st). I don't think I have any other pictures of A'ishah that are more current.
This first photo is a continuation of the last two pictures from my last post; here, A'ishah has been burped and is now resting comfortably on Daddy's chest while Mommy takes her picture. This turned out quite nice.

"Eskimo baby." A'ishah being dried with a towel after one of her morning baths.

Finally, A'ishah on Eid over at Grandma's place. We had bought a very nice Eid outfit during Ramadan over at Geylang Serai, but it turned out that the fabric was waaay too rough for her skin. She cried horribly until we took it off her; fortunately, we had another outfit (bought by one of my sisters) that we could use instead. (Yeah, that's me holding her, again.)

Last time, I wrote that A'ishah had started developing a sense of humor; we've also learned that she's developing a temper. ;) A couple nights ago, Milady and I were too late in picking A'ishah up from the crib... at least according to her. ;) And so she threw a temper tantrum (the second of the day). Milady started giving A'ishah her evening bath, but A'ishah screamed throughout. I walked up and said something to the effect of "Good luck on getting her to bed." It frequently takes Milady about 40 minutes to get A'ishah to sleep in the evening. But Milady was unperturbed. "Oh, she'll go right to sleep after all this crying." Sure enough, Milady had A'ishah asleep in only ten-fifteen minutes that night. I wish she would go to sleep that fast every night.
Special note to my parents: Your photo set (of 33 photos) should be in the mail by tomorrow, insha'allah. :)
This first photo is a continuation of the last two pictures from my last post; here, A'ishah has been burped and is now resting comfortably on Daddy's chest while Mommy takes her picture. This turned out quite nice.

"Eskimo baby." A'ishah being dried with a towel after one of her morning baths.

Finally, A'ishah on Eid over at Grandma's place. We had bought a very nice Eid outfit during Ramadan over at Geylang Serai, but it turned out that the fabric was waaay too rough for her skin. She cried horribly until we took it off her; fortunately, we had another outfit (bought by one of my sisters) that we could use instead. (Yeah, that's me holding her, again.)

Last time, I wrote that A'ishah had started developing a sense of humor; we've also learned that she's developing a temper. ;) A couple nights ago, Milady and I were too late in picking A'ishah up from the crib... at least according to her. ;) And so she threw a temper tantrum (the second of the day). Milady started giving A'ishah her evening bath, but A'ishah screamed throughout. I walked up and said something to the effect of "Good luck on getting her to bed." It frequently takes Milady about 40 minutes to get A'ishah to sleep in the evening. But Milady was unperturbed. "Oh, she'll go right to sleep after all this crying." Sure enough, Milady had A'ishah asleep in only ten-fifteen minutes that night. I wish she would go to sleep that fast every night.
Special note to my parents: Your photo set (of 33 photos) should be in the mail by tomorrow, insha'allah. :)
October 26, 2008
James Galbraith Interview with Bill Moyers
Bill Moyers recently interviewed economist James Galbraith (whom I wrote about earlier this month). The topic, of course, was on the financial crisis. To a degree, this interview is "$#|+ in your pants"-scary as it outlines not only the current problems we face, but some other potential problems that I haven't heard anyone else talk about (and I read four blogs devoted to economics on my RSS reader). The good news is that Galbraith remains optimistic that the problems can be overcome, although it will take some time (he estimates three years at a minimum). Below is most of the transcript; the video of the interview and the full transcript can be found here.
BILL MOYERS: How perilous is this situation?
JAMES GALBRAITH: Oh, very much so. This is the big one. I have been working on financial crises since the New York City rescue in 1975. And this is, by far and away, the biggest threat to the system as a whole that we've seen in my lifetime and I think the biggest threat since the late 1920s.
BILL MOYERS: Is it possible that the adrenaline of fear could push us over the brink into panic so that we stop acting rationally or deliberately?
JAMES GALBRAITH: Fear is a factor. But we have an enormous advantage over our predecessors in 1929. We have the fact that the New Deal happened. And we have the institutions of the New Deal, though they have been badly damaged in the last decade, they are still with us. We have deposit insurance. We have Social Security. We have a government which is capable of acting as the lender of last resort, which can borrow and spend as needed to deal with this crisis.
So here in the United States the capacity to handle the crisis exists. What we need is a government that's willing to use that capacity, that believes in it. And that's where the collapse of the old objectivism of Alan Greenspan is such a fundamental feature of the present situation, and very timely. With the collapse of that system of ideas perhaps the way will be cleared for thinking afresh and clearly about the problems that we face and how to solve them.
BILL MOYERS: Well, they have been acting as born-again believers in government intervention.
JAMES GALBRAITH: I think, though, that there's still a great deal still to be learned and still be to done. We are going to hear a great deal in the next few weeks about the need for a stimulus package. And a lot of people will be talking about how they will be conceding that the government should get involved short term.
But what needs to be stressed is that we've seen a breakdown of an entire system. The consequence of the failure of regulation, of supervision of the banking system over the past eight years, has been to cause a collapse of trust, a poisoning of the well.
BILL MOYERS: Trust?
JAMES GALBRAITH: Of trust, yes. Banks -
BILL MOYERS: Between?
JAMES GALBRAITH: Banks no longer trust each other because they no longer know whether their counterparties are solvent. Customers no longer trust the banking system. Banks no longer trust the people who would like to borrow from them for commercial purposes. This is a poisoned well. It is going to take a fair amount of time for it to be cleaned up.
BILL MOYERS: Fair amount of time? What do you mean?
JAMES GALBRAITH: My feeling is, if it is done correctly, aggressively, effectively, we could begin to work out of it in three years. But it is not a problem that's going to be solved with a six-month program.
BILL MOYERS: What scares you most right now?
JAMES GALBRAITH: Well, a week ago or two weeks ago I would have said the possibility that Phil Gramm might become Secretary of the Treasury.
BILL MOYERS: Your former Texas soul mate, right?
JAMES GALBRAITH: Yes, exactly. Yeah. We have a contest between a philosophy of deregulation, of de-supervision, a philosophy of anything goes. Gramm himself was the architect, a deep architect of the speculative markets that have just collapsed. And an alternative which says that there really has to be a pragmatic approach to these problems. And that's a choice the American public obviously is going to be making in a few days.
BILL MOYERS: What's the worst-case scenario you think about late at night?
JAMES GALBRAITH: Right now the thing that troubles me most is not the United States. The thing that troubles me most is that the same ideas of deregulation, of free markets, were applied in the construction of modern Europe. And the Europeans don't have the institutions of the New Deal, a central bank that can lend as necessary.
BILL MOYERS: Right.
JAMES GALBRAITH: Government that can borrow as necessary; that can take the initiative. They have expanded themselves into Eastern Europe in a way in which Communism was replaced by nothing. And a financial collapse is going on there now is, in many ways, more profound than the one we are experiencing here.
BILL MOYERS: But we've seen Gordon Brown, the Prime Minister of Britain, step forward in a way that our own government hasn't and try to orchestrate a European-wide response to this.
JAMES GALBRAITH: That is true. And that is, you know, collection of the finance ministers getting together over the weekend to try and do this on an ad hoc basis. Mercifully, we have the institutions of government in this country that can act. The Europeans are winging it. They have to go against their charter of the Central Bank, against the Maastricht Treaty and its restrictions on government spending, government deficits. They- that problem is a systemic problem. Our problem is a policy problem. We can solve our problem.
BILL MOYERS: Isn't our government winging it, too? I mean, the NEW YORK TIMES this week-
JAMES GALBRAITH: Yeah.
BILL MOYERS: Had a long story saying that Secretary of Treasury Paulson was behind the curve at almost every turn.
JAMES GALBRAITH: That's no doubt true. First of all, the crisis had been developing for a year. When it broke, he sent up a three-page bill to Congress. Many people said that's a power grab. My view was it was a punt. It said to the Congress, "You take this ball. You write the legislation," which Barney Frank and the other leadership of the Congress actually did do. And they came back. And eventually they passed a bill. And Paulson has been improvising ever since. He's done a number of things that actually I was recommending as early as the 25th of September in the "Washington Post". Guarantee all deposits in the banking system. Support the commercial paper market. Take out equity investment in the banks, effectively partially nationalizing them. All of these things which were unimaginable in mid-September are now policy, even though they were, strictly speaking, part of the bill.
So we are improvising very fast. The next problem is going to be that the economy needs to be dealt with, not just the financial sector. The fact is we have a million homes in foreclosure. That number's going to be rising. It could be two and a half or five million in a few months. We are going to have to take very significant steps to try and keep people in their homes, to try and minimize the amount of abandonment, the amount of blight, the amount of sort of permanent damage to the houses out there and to the people who live in them.
BILL MOYERS: Yeah, that's one calamity I wanted to ask you about. You own a home on which the value of it is far less now than the mortgage that you have to pay off. What do we do about that?
JAMES GALBRAITH: You renegotiate the mortgage. And that is something that has to be done on a case-to-case-by-case basis with government help. That is what, in the 1930s, Roosevelt established a Home Owners' Loan Corporation to do. And we're going to need to go back to that model and do something similar. Sheila Bair, the head of the FDIC-
BILL MOYERS: Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation.
JAMES GALBRAITH: - has proposed something quite similar.
BILL MOYERS: And so has Governor John-
JAMES GALBRAITH: So we're-
BILL MOYERS: -Corzine of New Jersey is coming forward with something like that. Details to follow. But I know he's groping with that. Other governors are, too.
JAMES GALBRAITH: Yeah.
BILL MOYERS: Can they do it on their own at the state level?
JAMES GALBRAITH: No. It is going to require federal organization and federal funds. And the states have another problem, which is states and localities fund themselves from the property tax and the local economies.
BILL MOYERS: Right.
JAMES GALBRAITH: Those are collapsing. So they need support and help to maintain their public services, to keep their staff, their civil servants on payroll so that you don't complicate the housing problem, among other things.
BILL MOYERS: And since there's no private capital from that they can borrow now, where do they go?
JAMES GALBRAITH: Well, they have to - the federal government is going to have to provide both operating revenue and support for capital investment by state and local government.
BILL MOYERS: What about the other calamity? The other calamity is that people nearing retirement and the elderly, have really been hit hard in their pension plans. What happens to them?
JAMES GALBRAITH: Well, you can't make people whole individually because everybody made different portfolio choices. Some were more in the stock market, some less. Those who were more in the stock market have been hurt harder. What you can do is protect the population as a whole. And we have a system for doing that. It's called Social Security.
It supports today about 40% of the American elderly population has basically no other income. It's more than half of the retirement of maybe 50 or 60% of that population. Social Security benefits, except for inflation adjustment, haven't been raised in a generation. We ought to think about replacing the losses to some degree in the aggregate that have occurred in the markets by raising Social Security benefits and particularly raising them for the poorest and most vulnerable.
BILL MOYERS: For a temporary measure?
JAMES GALBRAITH: Well, I'm in favor of doing it on a permanent basis.
BILL MOYERS: But, you know, you and everybody else have been reading or talking to or calling for more spending, more spending because that's the only way you say to get capital into the system. But where's that money going to come from, Jamie?
JAMES GALBRAITH: The government has no problem with money. What we're learning, first of all, is that the dollar remains the anchor currency of the world. The euro is the one, is the currency that's collapsing right now, not the dollar.
Uncle Sam's credit is excellent. Uncle Sam can borrow short term for practically nothing these days. Everybody wants to have Treasury Bills and bonds because they're safe. Uncle Sam can borrow for 20 years at 4.3%. That's the same rate that the United States could borrow at for 20 years in the last month of the Eisenhower administration. So from our point of view, we're actually well placed, I mean, as the government of the United States is well placed to take the lead in pulling the country and the world out of this crisis.
BILL MOYERS: But even Barack Obama's website calls the deficit America's "Domestic Enemy." Even he's aware of the fact that the deficit's beyond sight.
JAMES GALBRAITH: Well, the deficit isn't beyond sight. The deficits in the Bush administration in relation to the size of the economy were never all that large. They were certainly larger than they were under Clinton, but that was in part necessary because of the changed economic situation, the collapse of the dot-com bubble in 2000.
The United States government's credit is good. The deficit is a financial number that people are going to have to get used to because there is no way in these circumstances of avoiding an increase in the deficit. One of two things can happen. The government can take action and help stabilize the economy in which case we will have more spending but also more employment.
Or the government cannot take action and let the economy collapse in which case we will have much less tax revenue. The deficit is going to be larger either way. There is no way of avoiding that. The only question is do you work to have a good economy or do you accept a terrible economy?
BILL MOYERS: What are the negative effects of a soaring deficit?
JAMES GALBRAITH: Well, the one thing I would have worried about is that we might not find lenders who are willing to provide funds to the U.S. government, that the Chinese or the Japanese might decide that they would rather be in some other currency and that we'd then have trouble with inflation. But that's not going to happen.
It's not going to happen because, as it turns out, the major alternative, the euro, simply isn't viable as a reserve asset for the rest of the world. It's the dollar or nothing. So the United States basically can finance itself to the extent necessary to deal with this crisis. And I'm right now quite sanguine about that, quite confident that we won't face a problem.
BILL MOYERS: You call your book THE PREDATOR STATE, what do you mean predator?
JAMES GALBRAITH: What I mean is the people who took over the government were not interested in reducing the government and having a small government, the conservative principle. They were interested in using these great institutions for private benefit, to place them in the control of their friends and to put them to the use of their clients. They wanted to privatize Social Security. They created a Medicare drug benefit in such a way as to create the maximum profit for pharmaceutical companies.
They used trade agreements to extend patent protections for various interests or to promote the expansion of the corporate agriculture's markets in the third world. A whole range of things that were basically political and clientelistic. That's the predator state.
BILL MOYERS: You call it a corporate republic.
JAMES GALBRAITH: It is a corporate republic.
BILL MOYERS: Which means that the purpose of government is to divert funds from the public sector to the private sector?
JAMES GALBRAITH: I think it's very clear. They also turned over the regulatory apparatus to the regulated industries. They turned over the henhouse to the foxes in every single case. And that is the source of the decline in, the abandonment of environmental responsibility, the source of the collapse of consumer protection, and the source of the collapse of the financial system, all trace back to a common root, which is the failure to maintain a public sector that works in the public interest, that provides discipline and standards, a framework within which the private sector can operate and compete. That's been abandoned.
BILL MOYERS: We saw what Alan Greenspan said yesterday. But did you see what the chairman of the Securities and Exchange Commission, Christopher Cox, said? I mean, it was one of the great recantings in modern American history. Quote, "The last six months have made it abundantly clear that voluntary regulation does not work."
Now, we all know that the government can screw up, too. We all know that government can make serious mistakes. What kind of regulation do you think we should have that doesn't poison and punish entrepreneurial talent but protects the public interest?
JAMES GALBRAITH: Well, first of all, anyone who thought, up until six months ago, that voluntary regulation could work was either being dishonest or delusional. Voluntary regulation is regulation that, by its nature, you can evade. And what happens is that the people, who are most intent on evading it, on not respecting the standards, come to take over the process. Their profits are better. And so they drive the complying firms and businesses to the wall. They out-compete them.
You need to have a mandatory system so that the firms which are more technologically progressive, which are safer, which are more complaint, which provide, which are prudent in the financial sector, which maintain credit standards so that those firms have a competitive chance. That's the first purpose of regulation.
It is a framework which it favors, when it's done properly, it's a framework which favors the more efficient, the more progressive, the elements that are prepared to work within the guidelines set by a larger public purpose.
BILL MOYERS: What kind of regulation do you think might be most effective?
JAMES GALBRAITH: The, well first of all, we need to clean up the mess that's there. And that's going to include a fair amount of legal intervention, criminal prosecution, malfeasance. There was a lot of fraud in the housing sector, in the, amongst the loan originators, amongst the appraisers. This all needs to be investigated. And people need to be moved out of positions in the financial industry that they have abused.
The regulatory system going forward is going to have to be basically like a utility. It's going to have to treat banking like a utility with limitations on growth, on rate of return, and on credit in such a way as to be much more transparent, to make it much easier to evaluate financial products that are traded. None of this over-the-counter, occult, too complex to value stuff.
We need to end the offshore tax havens and other ways in which institutions have hid out from their responsibility to the country to pay their share of taxes. And we need to have a set of prudential standards that are reasonable and that basically can put the business of finance on a sustainable footing. It'll be a much less glamorous business going forward. But it will be more reliable for the country as a whole.
BILL MOYERS: You are such an experienced economist in your own right. But I hesitate to bring the spirit of your father to this table. He would have been 100 last week had he not died two years ago, right? And his classic book, of course, one of his classic books is "The Great Crash of 1929". Is the situation today comparable to what happened when your father was a young economist?
JAMES GALBRAITH: It is. The situation today is very similar to the moment of panic and collapse that we saw in 1929. And for very similar reasons. An abandonment of the supervisory responsibility that should have been applied to keep the speculation and the fraud and the abuse from getting out of control. So there's going to be a major period of correction. And dad, in writing this in 1955, talks about how memory fades and how eventually, although so long as people remembered '29 it wouldn't be repeated, eventually it would be forgotten and the underlying speculative impulse would come back. So the book, in addition to being a great read, is really prescient in a very balanced way. But I will say that we're not going to go back to 1929 because in 1929 we hadn't had Roosevelt. We hadn't had Kennedy and Johnson. We had had them now. So we have a body of history to work with.
BILL MOYERS: There's a precedent, you're saying, that there are tools there if people want to use them.
JAMES GALBRAITH: Tools, not only precedent, there are institutions. There's a government structure. And if we use them, we can avoid, we can't avoid '29. But we can avoid 1930 and 1931, 1932, when-
BILL MOYERS: When-
JAMES GALBRAITH: -output fell by a third, unemployment rose to 25 percent of the labor force and a third or more of the banks in the country closed and people lost their savings. In fact, we are already in a position of moving to take steps to prevent that from happening. We need to recognize, though, that we can never go back to a system of this kind of buccaneering finance driven, Wall Street-led economy in which a group of people who are profoundly unqualified to run the country are, in fact, dictating policy from perches here in Manhattan.
BILL MOYERS: But there are capitalists like Steve Forbes, I just read a long article by him in the current issue of "Forbes Magazine," who argue that people like you are going to go too far and that it was actually the government's excesses and failures in the '80s and '90s that contributed to what began to happen in 2007 with the meltdown. And that if you have your way, people like you have your way, you will criminalize business. You will raise taxes and dry up the economy. You will take government unchecked into the same kind of catastrophe that unchecked Wall Street has carried us. How do you answer a Steve Forbes?
JAMES GALBRAITH: Well, first of all, I very much agree with him, that it was failures of government that were responsible for this. It was the actual failure, the abandonment, the neglect of the supervisory regulatory responsibility. That's at the root of this.
Just as you cannot prosper without a private economy, you cannot prosper without an effective autonomous government capable of thinking for itself, capable of balancing things out, of standing for other interests, of standing for labor and consumers and for the public interest as a whole. If you don't have that, you're going to get these pyramids, these bubbles, these epidemics of fraud and abuse, and ultimately the collapse of trust and the collapse of the economy itself. That's what's happened in the predator state.
BILL MOYERS: I wrote down something you wrote elsewhere, that struck me. You wrote that after World War II our American system wasn't imperial. Quote, "We spoke instead of community, of freedom, of common purposes and common values. And the world took us seriously because we had paid our dues." What's happened to those values?
JAMES GALBRAITH: Well, it's clear that world has lost its confidence in the responsible role of the United States. Iraq is viewed by the world as reckless and self-serving rather than being a necessary step to protect the mutual security.
In the financial sector, the world viewed us as a safe haven because they believed we had effective systems for legality, transparency and security. That's taken a hard knock. But we are rescued for the moment by the fact that other people's systems turn out to be even worse. I believe that you can turn a page and that you can rebuild the position of the country in the world community if you do so in a way which is fully credible. New people, new philosophies, new policies.
October 24, 2008
The Economist: McCain's Last Stand
There's an interesting, short article on John McCain's campaign in the state of Pennsylvania over at The Economist. What really struck me about this article was two sections near the end. Based on these two paragraphs, is there any reason to think that McCain has any hope of winning Pennsylvania, let alone the country? Not in my mind.
Mr Obama also has an overwhelming advantage with his ground game. The Obama campaign has not just been content to produce huge turnouts in the big cities. It is fighting for every vote. Mr Obama has 81 field offices across the state, many in places where Democrats have never competed before, compared with Mr McCain’s three dozen. Mr Obama is also making clever use of affinity groups—getting nurses to organise meetings with other nurses and Catholics (a vital group in Pennsylvania, accounting for almost 25% of people) to organize meetings with other Catholics.
...
The McCain office only had a couple of people working the phones when The Economist visited. The young man who was in charge had no idea that Mr McCain was in the state that day. The Obama office, by contrast, was crammed to the brim and hyper-organized. There were plenty of older people sporting “Hillary sent me” badges as well as younger Obamaphiles. The walls were covered with charts telling people where they had to be and when. After dark, it was still buzzing with volunteers. The McCain office was closed.
October 23, 2008
Sarah Palin, Secret Democrat
This woman really is clueless.

"Oh, look! It has little donkeys on it and, see? It says 'Vote!' Nothing but the best for me at Neiman Marcus!"
Photo credit: Newsweek

Photo credit: Newsweek
October 22, 2008
A'ishah during Ramadan
Back in mid September, I had a post about A'ishah's BFF (Best Friend Forever), a bright, sunny cloth flower that we had bought from Toys "R" Us. A few days after I wrote that post, Milady took a picture of A'ishah smiling at the flower:

Since that time, we've also added a musical mobile and a small fan to the crib, the fan having several LED lights that makes colorful patterns as the blades spin. Those have attracted A'ishah's attention in recent weeks far better than the flower, which is more or less ignored now despite it still having a prominent space on the crib.
This next photo was taken by Milady with her brother Du@n holding A'ishah. The "glow" is due to the photo being taken in front of Arcadia doors on a bright day.

Finally, we have two more photos of A'ishah in all her "chipmunk cheek" glory. Both pictures were taken during Ramadan, very early in the morning, when everyone was eating breakfast before the start of fasting. The hand in both photos is mine. :)

"Daddy, I'm so tired!"

"Yeaah! Who keeps flashing that bright light in my face?"
I'm also pleased to say that A'ishah is developing a sense of humor. A couple of days ago, Milady was holding A'ishah in front of a mirror and making faces at her. Every few seconds A'ishah would then giggle ("ha ha"), which was really cute to watch. Later that day, we bought a small swing for A'ishah to sit in. As soon as she was placed in it and the swing began to rock, she giggled once more. Very cute!

Since that time, we've also added a musical mobile and a small fan to the crib, the fan having several LED lights that makes colorful patterns as the blades spin. Those have attracted A'ishah's attention in recent weeks far better than the flower, which is more or less ignored now despite it still having a prominent space on the crib.
This next photo was taken by Milady with her brother Du@n holding A'ishah. The "glow" is due to the photo being taken in front of Arcadia doors on a bright day.

Finally, we have two more photos of A'ishah in all her "chipmunk cheek" glory. Both pictures were taken during Ramadan, very early in the morning, when everyone was eating breakfast before the start of fasting. The hand in both photos is mine. :)


I'm also pleased to say that A'ishah is developing a sense of humor. A couple of days ago, Milady was holding A'ishah in front of a mirror and making faces at her. Every few seconds A'ishah would then giggle ("ha ha"), which was really cute to watch. Later that day, we bought a small swing for A'ishah to sit in. As soon as she was placed in it and the swing began to rock, she giggled once more. Very cute!
Zakat vs. Sadaqah
There seems to be some confusion among non-Muslims about who's eligible to receive charity from Muslims. The quotation in question is from Al-Maqasid, the book on fiqh by Imam Nawawi (631 - 676 A.H. / 1234 - 1278 CE), who wrote:
Not surprisingly, the quotation is being misused by Islamophobes such as Bobby Spencer and others. Their problem seems to be that they focus solely on zakat while ignoring the fact that there's also sadaqah, the voluntary charity that can be given by Muslims to anyone. What follows below is the thread of a conversation over at Daily Kos where this issue came up. The first comment was written by a person calling themselves "Berkeley Moon":
To which "Old Man Mountain" wrote:
I responded:
To which "Old Man Mountain" replied:
And here is my latest (and, insha'allah, last) response:
"It is not permissible to give zakat to a non-Muslim." (Al-Maqasid, 4:13)
Not surprisingly, the quotation is being misused by Islamophobes such as Bobby Spencer and others. Their problem seems to be that they focus solely on zakat while ignoring the fact that there's also sadaqah, the voluntary charity that can be given by Muslims to anyone. What follows below is the thread of a conversation over at Daily Kos where this issue came up. The first comment was written by a person calling themselves "Berkeley Moon":
Do you know, for example, that Islam compares wealth in a society to blood in the body? It must be circulated in a healthy society/body. If too much blood is congealed in one place in the body, the body dies. The body also dies if there is too little blood in a part. It is the same with a society. Too little or too much wealth in a part of the society means the society sickens and may die.
To which "Old Man Mountain" wrote:
Interesting... Can you please quote the verse(s) that outline this concept? Thanks.
I responded:
There is no specific verse in the Qur'an... that mentions this concept; there may be some ahadith that do, although I couldn't find anything through an online search of the best of the hadith databases (USC's MSA website). However, you can find the concept fleshed out in The Secret of Islam, pp. 17-18.
To which "Old Man Mountain" replied:
That link appears to outline... the justification for zakat tax. Now I've done some reading up on this in the meantime, and it seems that although there are some exceptions (like if there is potential to make a convert), by and large...
"It is not permissible to give zakat to a non-Muslim" (Al-Maqasid, 4:13).
I'm just an old guy, sometimes grumpy, but I just don't see what is so "beautiful" about that - unless of course one is a Muslim. I must say the teacher above sure makes it sound flowery.
And here is my latest (and, insha'allah, last) response:
I think part of the problem... is that there's a lot more to this topic than what you've read. First, the passage I linked to used the analogy of wealth in a society to blood within one's body with respect to zakat; however, the passages where I'm familiar with this analogy are normally on the topic of Islamic business practices. The use of this analogy is applicable to both areas.
Next, the quotation you used, "It is not permissible to give zakat to a non-Muslim." (Al-Maqasid, 4:13), is from a book on fiqh or Islamic jurisprudence. It's not a quotation from the Qur'an, if that's what you were thinking.
In Googling the quotation (because I was unfamiliar with it off-hand), I see that it's used in a negative manner by Islamophobes; what I don't see is that these same people don't have a more full understanding about charity within Islam. Zakat is merely one form of charity within Islam. Zakat is the compulsory charity that is required of Muslims; non-Muslims are not expected to pay any zakat whatsoever. In this regard, I don't have any problems with the idea that "it is not permissible to give zakat to a non-Muslim." It is a charity raised by and distributed back to the Muslim community.
However, zakat is only one type of charity in Islam; the voluntary, non-compulsory form of charity in Islam is known as sadaqah. Sadaqah can be given to anyone, Muslim or non-Muslim. Whereas zakat is a prescribed amount (2.5% of one's wealth), sadaqah is limitless. In Islam, even a smile is sadaqah. :) So there's more to Islamic charity than just zakat.
October 19, 2008
Note to Self: Keep Mouth Closed When Looking Up!
Presumably it's good luck if a bird shits upon you. So how much good luck does this guy have?
October 17, 2008
October 16, 2008
Caddying
I'm not quite sure what my first job was, although I'd guess that it was my time as a caddy. "Job" isn't really the right word for being a caddy; I wasn't there because I had filled out an application or was hired by the country club. (They could have cared less.) Caddying was more like being an independent contractor: I'd show up, sit around the scoreboard (used for the occasional golf tournament), and hope that someone would ask me to carry their bag for them. Usually someone did; occasionally I went home having done nothing.I don't know who first suggested I caddy; my mom, I think. I like golf, and my parents had given me some lessons on how to play the game. The country club where I caddied was located on the west side of town, but because I was too young to drive, I'd ride my bicycle over. I'd go to the caddymaster's room, tell them I was there to caddy, and then I'd sit at the scoreboard and chat with any other caddy who happened to be there. Caddies at that country club were almost all high school students. For the most part we were too young to get better jobs, which explains why, over two summers, I only met one college-aged caddy. So we'd sit and wait. Most club members didn't bother with caddies, using golf carts instead. (Bastards.) Most days I did get to carry someone's bags but, as I said above, not always. Those were the depressing days. Sitting around for a couple hours, getting a glimmer of hope when club members showed up to play golf, getting depressed when they took a cart. The one alternative to caddying was that occasionally we'd be hired to shag balls. Most members had a bunch of practice balls they kept in some type of bag or container, maybe fifty or so. Instead of your typical driving range where some vehicle runs around sweeping up balls, the caddy runs around chasing after the balls his golfer hits into the field. It wasn't terribly difficult work, but it wasn't always easy to see the ball in the sky as it came at you. Not that I ever got hit by a ball, thank God. It was relatively easy money. Twenty minutes worth of running around for $3.
But the "real" money to be made was in walking around the course ($9 for a round, IIRC). Those bags were freakin' humongous, but if you carried the bag with the center of the strap on your shoulder, instead of the end nearest the bag's mouth, you could balance the bag quite easily. The course itself was partially located on a hill. The first hole was flat, but holes Two and Three were uphill. Four was a short, level par three about two-thirds of the way up the hill, but Five was a long, steep monster. On hot, humid days, climbing up that hill was a bear. Everyone, golfers and caddies, would drink a couple of paper cups of water each at the dispenser at the sixth tee. Six through Nine went back downhill, which was nice. One incident at the sixth tee remains in my mind. One of the caddy's jobs is to help track the ball when the golfer hits it so that we can get to the ball as quickly as possible. This guy hit the ball and, just as he did, out soars this beautiful hawk. Magnificent! Of course, everyone lost sight of the ball. :)
At the bottom of the hill, at the ninth green, was a small refreshment stand. Golfers always had to buy their caddy a drink. We were lucky if they bought us a hot dog. The back nine was much easier than the front nine. Although Ten and Eleven went back up the hill, you never got as high up as on the front nine. By Fourteen you were back down on the plain, and then we'd start walking past the rich people's homes, those whose backyards bordered the golf course. By Fifteen, you were starting to feel good as you knew your job was almost over. Once you got back to the clubhouse, you'd give the bag back to the caddymaster who would clean and polish the clubs before putting everything into its slot. The members' clubs were stored in the caddymaster's room, each bag being stored in a cylinder with the member's name attached. I remember walking around one day looking at the names and realizing that my optometrist was a member.
For me, caddying wasn't anything like the movie Caddyshack. Most of the other caddy's were OK guys; one in particular became a friend that summer. He asked me once if I wanted to play golf at the course on a Tuesday morning (when caddies were allowed to play). He asked the caddymaster if he and I could play one week, and the caddymaster was like, "Who?" Obviously, I hadn't made much of an impression. I never did play golf there; I'm not sure how I would have gotten my own bag and clubs there while riding the three miles or so on my bicycle.
One of the more interesting jobs I had was caddying for a woman; every other round I did was with a man (and the appropriately macho humongo bag), but this one woman asked me one morning if I'd pull her bag around for her. (Most womens' bags at the time were squarish contraptions on wheels.) I'm not sure why she asked me to go with her. Pity? A status symbol? Someone to talk to on the course? Turns out she was the mother of one of the girls we caddies knew. The girl was slightly older than us, by a year or two, and was going to attend Duke that fall. But the girl ignored us caddies, and we resented that. None of us had parents who were members, and we felt she was being snobbish. Still, the mother was a nice woman, and the other caddies thought I was very lucky for having such an easy round. (It also helped soothe my ego when she asked me how old I was; she thought I was in college when I was still in high school, having just finished (I think) my sophomore year.)
The very last time I caddied was late in the summer of '77. I hadn't realized that there was a big golf tournament going on at the local college's golf course (where I learned to play golf). So I had been sitting at the scoreboard, very morose about the lack of work when the caddymaster called out, was I doing anything? Did I want to caddy up at the tournament? One of the members decided he needed a caddy, and I was the only one at the country club. So they drove me up to the course, and I did my round with him that day. In fact, he asked me if I would caddy for him the next day (this was a two-day tournament), but I had a prior commitment.
Caddying wasn't a great job; it was rather erratic and very dependent upon the whim of the golfer. Most club members were OK, and one guy I caddied for was a real character. But it provided a little bit of spending money that I earned for myself, and a lot of fresh air and exercise. And that made it nice.
October 14, 2008
"Spare Me the Sermon on Muslim Women"
Nice essay at the Washington Post on the benefits of being a Muslim woman, written by Mohja Kahf, author of the novel "The Girl in the Tangerine Scarf." Below are a couple of brief excerpts; the entire essay can be read at the above link.
HT: Alajnabiya's Climbing Walls
It irks me that I even have to say this: Being a Muslim woman is a joyful thing.
...
Blessings abound for me as a Muslim woman: The freshness of ablution is mine, and the daily meditation zone of five prayers that involve graceful, yoga-like movements, performed in prayer attire. Prayer scarves are a chapter in themselves, cool and comforting as bedsheets. They lie folded in the velveteen prayer rug when not in use: two lightweight muslin pieces, the long drapey headcover and the roomy gathered skirt. I fling open the top piece, and it billows like summer laundry, a lace-edged meadow. I slip into the bottom piece to cover my legs for prayer time because I am wearing shorts around the house today.
These create a tent of tranquility. The serene spirit sent from God is called by a feminine name, "sakinah," in the Quran, and I understand why some Muslim women like to wear their prayer clothes for more than prayer, to take that sakinah into the world with them. I, too, wear a (smaller) version of the veil when I go out. What a loss it would be for me not to have in my life this alternating structure, of covering outdoors and uncovering indoors. I take pleasure in preparing a clean, folded set for a houseguest, the way home-decor mavens lay elegant plump towels around a bathroom to give it a relaxing feel.
...
As beautiful as veils are, they are not the best part of being a Muslim woman -- and many Muslim women in Islamic countries don't veil. The central blessing of Islam to women is that it affirms their spiritual equality with men, a principle stated over and over in the Quran, on a plane believers hold to be untouched by the social or legalistic "women in Islam" concerns raised by other parts of the Scripture, in verses parsed endlessly by patriarchal interpreters as well as Muslim feminists and used by Islamophobes to "prove" Islam's sexism. This is how most believing Muslim women experience God: as the Friend who is beyond gender, not as the Father, not as the Son, not inhabiting a male form, or any form.
HT: Alajnabiya's Climbing Walls
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